The last poll from the widget in the right hand bar closed a week ago. I want to share the results with you before the final SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook comes out. Mind you, I preferred the Arctic Sea Ice blog's poll to be about IJIS daily minimum extent. The SEARCH SIO predictions are for NSIDC September average extent.
The average this time around is 4.299 million square km.
These were the results for the previous polls:
Poll 1 (304 votes)
- (436 votes; closed July 15th)
4.205 million square km
Poll 2 (237 votes; closed August 20th)
4.280 million square km
Poll 3 (135 votes; closed September 1st)
4.299 million square km
Here's my complex method for processing the poll results:
I've calculated the number by multiplying the percentage number with the average of an option. For instance 'between 4.5 and 5 million' = 4.75, and for 'less than 3.5 million km2' I've used 3.25 million km2. I've added up all multiplications and divided the result by 100.
IJIS SIE is currently at 4.561 million square km (September 7th 2011).