I finally feel confident enough to call the maximum for the Cryosphere Today sea ice area data set*:
graph comes from the Pogoda i Klimat blog
More than two weeks have passed since I wrote the following:
ECMWF is showing a big high taking over the Barents/Kara regions 5 from days from now, with a big low doing its thing in the Bering/Okhotsk region. If this forecast comes about I think we will have our CT SIA maximum around March 5th.
It came about, but didn't last, and so I decided to hold on to my horses: