Last month's tentative conclusion has definitely been confirmed for now:
It seems that last year's rebound has been fully negated after a couple of relatively warm months (the flipside of cold outbreaks in the US) and 2014 will start out at approximately the same level as previous years.
After the last minimum ended up being 1700 km3 above that of record year 2012, the current modeled volume for March 31st is 241 km3 below last year's. The difference with 2011 was +401 km3 at the end of February, and has even increased to +480 km3. Other than that volume is now lower than all the other years in the record. Who would've thought this back in September? Well, the Arctic does as the Arctic will.
The graph produced by Wipneus shows a bit more clearly how 2014 is just below the other trend lines, with 2011 some further below: