EGU 2017 call for abstracts

Here's a short blog post for all of you out there publishing in the scientific literature (you know who you are). There's little less than a week left to submit your papers to the various sessions organized at this year's EGU General Assembly.

The first session I'd like to mention, is one chaired by my namesake Neven S. Fučkar from the Barcelona Supercomputing Center, the invitation for which I received in my mail box yesterday:

We hope that you will be interested in attending and presenting your Arctic work at the following session at EGU 2017, 23-28 April 2017 (deadline for abstract submission: 11 January 2017, Wednesday 13:00 Central European Time):

Polar Climate Predictability and Prediction (co-organized: CL3.03/AS1.22/CR1.6/OS1.15)

The Arctic sea ice cover and many other elements of the cryosphere are experiencing significant changes over the modern observational era. The polar climate is crucial for the Earth’s energy and water budget, and its variability and change have direct socio-economic impacts. However, most of climate models are not yet in position to provide us with accurate predictions of polar climate. We welcome presentations advancing understanding of the mechanisms that control polar climate variability on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal timescales and climate change in both hemispheres. We encourage submissions that examine sources of polar climate predictability in a hierarchy of models, and link polar processes and predictions with mid- and low-latitude climate. We look forward to studies using remote sensing data, field observations, proxy data, theory and numerical models encompassing climate projections, reanalyses and forecast systems. This session aims to further connection between the atmospheric, oceanic and cryospheric research and operational communities. Furthermore, the session is an opportunity to present and discuss plans for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP), with its Core Phase commencing mid-2017.

We look forward to seeing you in Vienna,

Neven S. Fuckar, Virginie Guemas, Torben Koenigk, Matthieu Chevallier, Ed Hawkins, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Rym Msadek, and Helge Goessling

But there are many other interesting sessions as well. Here's a list:

CR1.1/CL2.18
State of the Cryosphere: Observations and Modelling
Convener: Julienne Stroeve

CR6.1/OS1.18
Rapid changes in sea ice: processes and implications
Convener: Daniel Feltham

CR1.4/CL2.19
Glaciers and ice caps under climate change
Convener: Jon Ove Hagen

CR1.5/AS4.22/CL2.22
Atmosphere – Cryosphere interaction, poster only
Convener: Willem Jan van de Berg

CL4.05/CR1.8/OS1.14
Processes and Impacts of climate change in the Arctic realm: from past to future
Convener: Anne de Vernal

CL4.10/CR1.13/OS1.12
Sea level rise: past, present and future
Convener: Svetlana Jevrejeva

CR2.1
Remote sensing of the cryosphere
Convener: Stef Lhermitte

CR3.4/NH8.6
Risks from a changing cryosphere
Convener: Christian Huggel

CR4.1/GM10.5
Permafrost Open Session
Convener: Michael Krautblatter

CR6.2/AS1.23
Clouds and precipitation in the Polar Regions: sources, processes and impacts
Convener: Irina V. Gorodetskaya

OS1.5/CR6.8
Freshwater in the Arctic and Sub-Arctic Seas
Convener: Benjamin Rabe

IE1.2/CR6.11/AS4.23
Cross Disciplinary Observations for an Integrated Understanding of the Arctic system
Convener: Christopher Cox

And that's just a pick of what I find interesting. There's much more.

So, submit, or suffer the consequences.

Comments

[r w Langford]

Thanks Neven, Happy New Year. In relation to predicting climate and weather under arctic influence here is another good view of present knowledge and knowledge gaps. Three new feedback mechanisms discussed each of which appear to be underway already. My fear is that the feedback loops will supersede anthropogenic causes down the road. Jennifer Francis at her best.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-arctic-is-getting-crazy/

[Bill Fothergill]

@ rwL

Thanks for posting the link to that abbreviated Jennifer Francis article - her work is always a pleasure to read. (Except, of course, for the underlying message, which is bloody terrifying.)

The first paragraph of the interview states that...

"Through November the area of ice-covered ocean in the region reached a record low in seven of 11 months—an unprecedented stretch."

With the December NSIDC figures in, make that 8 out of 12. The "laggards" were June through September, which all came in at a measly second lowest monthly average for sea ice area. (No prizes for figuring out that 2012 was lowest during these four months.)

Using the NSIDC monthlies (and applying equal weighting), the 2016 annual average area of 8.24 million sq kms came in nearly 400k sq kms below 2012. A further 100k back, 2007 was third lowest, fractionally ahead of 2011. The only other years averaging under 9 million sq kms were 2015 and 2010.